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Patch's Poll: Who Will Win the 2012 Presidential Election?

Now that the Democratic and Republican delegates have officially chosen their nominees, Patch wants to know: Are you betting on Obama or Romney?

It's official: With President Barack Obama's acceptance speech in Charlotte Thursday night, both the Republicans and Democrats have formally chosen their nominees for the 2012 presidential election. Let the real race begin.    

A lot can change between now and Nov. 6: Gaffes, scandals or even major international news events could shift the dynamics of the campaign.   

The latest Gallup Polls show registered voters preferring Obama to Mitt Romney by just one percentage point, 47 percent to 46 percent. A USA Today/Gallup poll taken just before the party conventions found American voters think Obama is more likeable but trust Romney more to handle the economy.

Pundits have been busy for months handicapping the major-party candidates on various factors: incumbent advantage, fundraising clout, even religion.

Patch wants to know: Regardless of who you support for President, who do you think will actually claim victory in November?

Vote in our poll below, and let us know your reasoning in the comments.

Paul Lambert September 07, 2012 at 08:07 PM
Does anybody remember the famous line "it's the economy stupid!". Well, guess what...
pat cocivera September 07, 2012 at 08:31 PM
jobs, jobs, jobs you only get 4 years and he blew it big time. Our children are the ones who are going to have a big bill in front of them.
Harry Sawyer September 07, 2012 at 08:54 PM
There is no difference in the two. They both are manipulated to saying what the special interests want them to say. We are screwed, either way. I am writing in Ron Paul. He is our answer, and I am going to live by his message.
DON886 September 07, 2012 at 09:05 PM
The strategy of the Obama admin has always been to use delay tactics to push the problems down the road. The fed is artificially keeping the economy propped up by pushing worse problems down the road. The Carter admin handled things differently and at least got much of the pain out of the way, setting up a possible recovery during Regan admin. The next president will be much less fortunate
Jonathan Hochman September 07, 2012 at 09:10 PM
It's Herbert Hoover, stupid. That didn't work out so well, did it? Let's not repeat history by electing a business genius who wants to cut spending when the economy is weak, and thereby trigger another Great Depression. The economic was crashing hard when Obama started. You can't possibly blame him for the mess created by the guy who was in charge the prior 8 years. At least Obama saved us from falling off the cliff. I don't see bread lines or work camps like the 1930's. We're a lot better off with Obama than the other choice.
Jonathan Hochman September 07, 2012 at 09:16 PM
So you'd like to cut the deficit. Excellent. We had a nice surplus under Clinton. Our huge deficit is a result of George Bush's unnecessary war in Iraq, his unnecessary tax cuts for the rich, and his failure to regulate the banks and financial markets. Bush was in charge for 8 years. He created these problems. We shouldn't go backwards to his failed policies.
DON886 September 07, 2012 at 09:23 PM
Jonathan, We are in a different world than Hoover times and the US is between a rock and a hard place. Cutting spending will cause short term pain, I agree. But printing money like crazy is just pushing worse problems down the road. This is no business cycle recession. Our problems are mostly due to foreign competition driving down prices and technology rapidly wasting jobs. There is no reason to assume the stimulus that has not jump started things in four years that more will do so. We cannot go on with this spending much longer. This is doing nothing to address root causes. Even CBO projections show our debt to GDP ratio will look like Greece in 9 years under the current path. The CBO has a history of grossly overestimating the economy, so probably we do not have that long.
MAC September 08, 2012 at 04:57 AM
Jonathon, Obama is pushing us OVER a fiscal cliff!!! Your ignorance about what/who caused the mortgage meltdown/economic crisis could fill a set of encyclopedias. But in brief, it was caused by DECADES of incompetent career politicians of both parties, but more by DEMS, who under Clinton repealed Glass/Steagall, ramped up the Community Reinvestment Act, FORCING banks to make loans to people who could not afford to buy homes--and then passed on the RISK to the TAXPAYERS, because of FNMA and FreddieMac which were run by incompetent CRONIES of corrupt politicians like Chris Dudd and Barney Frank! Our only chance of survival as a great nation, and a return to a "Path of Prosperity" will be electing the Romney/Ryan comeback team! And it still will be difficult to get back on that path, but is probable with them, but totally IMPOSSIBLE under Obama, who does not even want the U.S. to be great again, sadly.
DON886 September 08, 2012 at 12:43 PM
I agree with MAC. the causes of housing collapse were very complex. Also folks speculating on real estate expecting to buy expensive and sell later for a profit added to the problem. Also, Obama contributed in 1995 with his landmark lawsuit against Citibank on behalf of 186 African American clients Roughly half of these clients are bankrupt or were foreclosed. Bush tax cuts were 75 % to lower brackets and 25% to top bracket, so "tax cuts for the rich" misleading. The war in IRAQ also had beginnings during Clinton admin. Clinton signed the IRAQ liberation act in 1998 and Democrats were threatening invasion of IRAQ for not allowing UN inspectors even prior to Bush coming in office.
Michael Huffstutler September 10, 2012 at 08:58 PM
Obama said "I will not raise taxes on anyone who makes less than 250000 a year" As a retired Pennsylvania state employee I make a lot less than that. Every January since I retired in 2009 I get a letter from the State Employee Retirenent System saying "due to new Federal tax guide lines we are taking more away from your pension. To me that is a tax increase
DON886 September 10, 2012 at 09:24 PM
Michael, This is all politics. With the threat of more S+P downgrades taxes will have to be raised. Obama only said that for his re-election . They all know taxes need to be raised on all of us, But Democrats want to make sure GOP gets the blame. We are now borrowing 40 cents of every dollar the US spends and this cannot go on. I am retired also and very concerned. I need income from my 401k, but we get next to no interest on our savings that really hurts. This is also preety much a tax increase as it saves the government on borrowings costs, but we pay.
sick of the lies September 11, 2012 at 05:44 AM
I wish people would stop drinking the obama kool-aid. He is full of it and so many people believe his lies. Its as simple as this- mitt romney is our last hope.. If you vote for obama, you are mislead and an idiot!
DON886 September 11, 2012 at 12:32 PM
I agree folks are seriously misled and Obama is full of it. Folks are not necessarily idiots as I think much of the problem is the liberal media that covers for Obama and badmouths GOP as much as possible. Also Obama is a master of distorting the truth by exaggeration, leaving out relevant info, and making false implications. I agree Romney is the last hope for the US.
Andrew Ziemba September 11, 2012 at 12:38 PM
Glad to see that at least some of you are starting to realize that we are screwed either way, and that while Romney would appear to be the lesser of two evils, he could very well do the exact opposite on all of the good things he says, and follow through with 100% of the bad things he says. Personally I am just excited for Obama's "civilian national security force" because it will be exciting to see how patriotic Americans react to them.
DON886 September 11, 2012 at 12:46 PM
Andrew, you are right that our country is in trouble regardless of politics because of the global economy and technology wasting jobs anyway. I have not heard of the"civilian national security force" but will read up on it. Everything you hear in campaigns is all sound bites and slogans, so I would not put much stock in campaign rhetoric.
Michael Mercier September 17, 2012 at 12:39 AM
The truth is: Obama is a socialist. He was brought up a socialist, his friends are socialists, and his advisors are socialists. So, the question is, are you a socialist? Well lets see how this -take from the sucessful and give to the poor- political system has worked out for socialist or socialist type countries like China, Cuba, Russia, Vietnam, North Korea. Try to excersise your free speech in those places and see what happens to you. Obama has proven that he is of that mindset. Taking from others and giving it to others. That not only has never worked in the history of the world, but it gets millions killed in the end. Everytime! Look at new figures where almost 50 percent of Americans are now receiving some form of government assistance. No country can ever survive that way. Obama and his minions are pushing for more and more government assistance because that could be one more vote comming their way for every person placed on the government dole. It is outrageous that we let it get this far. The last 3 presidents have spent us into oblivion. And we keep hearing that we have to pay our fair share. Well, along comes a man (Romney) who knows about business and rescuing failed businesses. I say he deserves a chance at fixing our mess because the man who is there now has proven he will bring us down this path of socialism to fix our problems. And again, you know how that turns out.
Paul Chotkowski September 19, 2012 at 05:48 PM
Comrade Citizen, it is about BHO’s view of the America he would like us to move “Forward” towards not race. The America he wants to “Fundamentally Transform” us into. Two of the central themes of his presidency are class warfare & wealth redistribution, both of which are central tenets of Marxist theory. Most recently disclosed in his own words http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ge3aGJfDSg4&feature=player_embedded . Vote for him and his Democrat Party lick spittles if you must but the time has come to stop fooling yourself. If you support Marxist goals, if you support class struggle, if you support an ever larger & more intrusive State, if you support using the coercive power of that State to confiscate that which I made, then you are a Marxist. With you there is no compromise, accommodation, or appeasement. Your vision of America is one that I abhor & will work tirelessly to see defeated at the polls & in the school. Murphy & Esty will be part of the problem. No Progressive / Marxist running for office today will ever define what one’s FAIR SHARE is or when the government's share of the economy is too large! The only end to their tax, borrow, spend, chrony-kickbacks & graft is the eventual death of the golden goose [our free enterprise capitalist economic system built on a foundation of natural law and the ensuing Constitution]. At least be honest - YOU AND THE PRESIDENT ARE BOTH MARXIST and after saying so out loud try to get elected in the USA! Not going to happen!
Steve September 21, 2012 at 06:06 PM
Ron Paul was the only sensible candidate who wasn't in the pocket of corporate interests. Hopefully Rand Paul will run in 2016.
Marcie September 25, 2012 at 03:02 PM
I think it will be a very very close race. I also think Obama will win again. I am do not believe in a two party system so I am not going to vote for either. I think we need a more "moderate" party that combines the positives of both. I am not saying the Independent party is the best one but it is the better option and I think my vote will actually "say more" there then on the other tickets.
pat cocivera September 26, 2012 at 03:18 AM
marcie aren't you sick of "your president" constantly apologizing for you to the world? I am a very proud American and sick of this jerk and his peons constantly saying I'm sorry to the people who want to kill us. What is wrong with you. We are a two party system right now and you have a choice but not voting for Romney is a vote for Obama and you think t hings are screwed up now. Just wait.....
MAC September 28, 2012 at 06:09 PM
Obama, unrestrained by another election, would double down on his disastrous and FAILED "leadership" of our once great nation, turning it into a DYSTOPIA which we will not recognize as anything resembling the FREE nation we grew up in! Those with common sense will be voting for Romney/Ryan, "America's Comeback Team," so that we can have some REAL "hope" for our futures! Unfortunately, Obama has no respect for the Constitution, the "Separation of Powers" etc., and instead is totally committed to his misguided zero-sum ideology of DIMINISHING U.S. prosperity because he believes America must become poorer in order for people in third world nations to do better. His first term economic devastation may become minor compared to the havoc and "Dystopia" an unrestrained Obama will wreak through his un-Constitutional Executive Orders and the bureaucratic "Regulations" with which he ^^steals our Liberties^^, such as in the "HealthCare Mandate" imposed by K. Sebelius. And all that could be dwarfed by the takeover from within, by Muslim Brotherhood and other Muslim Terrorists who Obama has welcomed into the WH, while he will not allow our military and Nat'l Security agencies to even name these THREATS as what they are!!! To understand how Obama is totally FAILING to protect our nation, his most basic responsibility, watch "The Project" documentary on TheBlaze.com/tv. Free 2 wk. trial avail. and you can watch on demand.
DON886 September 28, 2012 at 08:10 PM
I am afraid of that also. Obama's whole first term was devoted to his re-election. We have no idea what he will try to pull second term, but I would put nothing past him.
chyna October 01, 2012 at 04:06 PM
am voting for the black guy!!! #TeamBarack
chyna October 01, 2012 at 04:09 PM
D A N C E 111111111111111111111111111111!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! hey gurlllllaa
chyna October 01, 2012 at 04:13 PM
Wassup Bee.
pat cocivera October 01, 2012 at 06:01 PM
because he's black or do you get free stuff
Sweet cheeks October 25, 2012 at 08:19 AM
Lets go Romney,its ur turn....OMG OBAMA MUST GO........ASAP
Banana October 30, 2012 at 11:22 PM
You all are so frikkin retarded it's killing me! Just shut the damn mouth and stop spitting crap! Obama is not a damn socialist for crying out loud! You are so damn racist it is redic and frankly I am sick of the right wing nutt jobs!
Melissa Platzer October 31, 2012 at 01:05 AM
Vote Gary Johnson!
Andrew November 06, 2012 at 01:23 AM
The last few are typical Obama voters. They don't know why they are voting. It was a civil debate until tweedle dee and tweedle dum entered in.

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